vtchaser77

 

2004 STORM CHASE LOG

 

 

Date

Location

Links

Narrative (all times Universal Time)

6 March

Stafford/King George counties

Northern convection

Northern line1

Northern line2

Southern convection

Pre-frontal dry slot gave rise to minimal instability allowing convection to build with CAPE indicated at ~500 for our immediate area.  Headed north at 1850 on “convection reconnaissance” and saw evidence of building storms (northern convection pic) in northern Stafford.  After witnessing convection to the south, had to choose between heading further north into traffic to see cells with precipitation or going south to hope for more buildup.  After choosing latter option, arrived at favored viewing spot on Rte 605 in King George county and could see lines to north (see northern line pix) and to south (southern pic).  Instability was so weak that any cell that slid under a broken overcast immediately stopped building.  Arrived home at 2005 having at least scratched the itch after a convective hiatus of several months.

13 April

 

 

 

N/A

SPC Day 1 outlook

STILL WAITING!  Today was the best hope for chasing so far this spring, and the *&%$^*(&)(^*!! cold air damming wedge kept all storms in far southeastern and southwesternVirginia!  Will there be a Virginia chase before our Great Plains trek in May?

1 May

 

 

 

 

 

Stafford/King George counties

Gustfront bulge

Bulge reprised

Closer look at bulge

Gustfront curve

 

I know, I know…I’m grasping at straws trying to chase today.  SPC Day 2’s show tomorrow with a slight risk, but I can’t wait any longer!!  Today’s warm frontal passage combined with CAPE near 1000 and LI’s around –3 led to some “convective showers” in the area.  (No lightning or thunder evident.)  Left home (first time) at 1753 after watching particular shower intensify on radar as it transited north from Richmond vicinity.  Arrived at hilltop spot on King George county Rte 605 and watched as shower approached, with outflow arriving at 1812 and rain beginning at 1813.  Left for home at 1820 arriving at 1839.  Watched radar some more and left home again at 1917 for nearby church parking lot.  As gust front neared a significant “bulge” approached my location (see link).  While it never amounted to anything exciting (see links), it was balm for my chasing-deprived soul.  The gust front arched from my position back toward the southeast (see link), arriving with 20-25 mph winds and heavy rain at 1944.  Left after rain started and arrived home 1955.  May tomorrow be fruitful!!!

2 May

Fauquier/Stafford counties

SPC Day 1

Rainfree base

Updraft

SPC outlooked area for slight risk (see link) both from pre-frontal and frontal storms.  Left home at 2001 for Fauquier county, which was just south of first severe thunderstorm watch issued for the day.  Arrived Opal 2040 in hopes of catching SW-NE traversing systems ahead of front, which was still well west of the Blue Ridge.  Watched for a while and then got a nowcast from my son at home (working on a term paper):  front was hung up on West VA border and didn’t look like it would make it east of the mountains before dark.  Meanwhile, one storm over Louisa county looked decent on radar and I could see the top from my position, so left Opal at 2115.  Arrived at new spotting location in Stafford county just west of I-95 at 2145, the same time that weak outflow and light rain hit.  As I was just south of the storm this didn’t last long, but was able to see rain-free base at the back of the storm (see links).  No lightning or thunder, but the trailing updraft did seem to have a slight rotation.  Severe TS watch issued for our area at 2150, so I was hopeful, but nothing exciting showed up so left for home, arriving at 2225 to watch radar.  Frontal activity did fire impressively after 2330, with tornado and severe TS warnings all along the counties immediately east of the Blue Ridge (not far from Opal!), but daylight was in short supply at this point.  Timing is everything…

7 May

N/A

 

Of course, the weekend I’m out of town (and the weekend before we leave for a Great Plains chase) a monster storm comes through our area, downing trees and snapping many of them 10 feet off the ground in Stafford and King George counties.  Official word from Sterling office was that it was a wet microburst with winds estimated at 80-90 mph.  We had 2.2” of rain indicated in our backyard gauge.

9 May

Stafford/Fauquier counties

 

Mother’s Day…SPC outlooked our area for a slight risk.  With CAPE over 2000, LI’s of –6 or better, and Td’s in the low 60’s had high hopes if something would initiate storms.  Watching radar finally saw two cells intensifying over higher terrain of Blue Ridge and heading east toward our area.  Left home at 2105 for NW Stafford county, then to SE Fauquier.  As I drove I could see both cells collapsing, with only a lone storm visible well to the north (west of Leesburg).  Still can’t figure out why those cells died given the dynamics and no cap to speak of.  Headed home dejectedly, arriving at 2300 with still no successful chase this year…haven’t even seen CG!

10 May

N/A

 

Left work an hour early in anticipation of chasing under another SPC slight risk, and no storms fired anywhere near us.  Cells initiated over Blue Ridge and then died again over Piedmont, even with dynamics seeming to support growth (or at least sustainment).  Tomorrow might provide one last (weak) chance for a chase before we head west later this week.

11 May

Spotsylvania county

Intensifying cells

Okay, okay…I didn’t really want to chase this evening, but I couldn’t resist, especially when slow-moving storms were firing just to the west.  After scoping out radar for 30 minutes or so at home, I noticed that two cells were intensifying over Spotsylvania county and both were back-building (retrograding) toward the west.  So, despite the typical late afternoon ugly traffic, I left home at 2145 and took a circuitous route to get behind the storms, one of which indeed “pulsed” severe and had a warning on it for a little while (see radar link).  Other than seeing my first CG of the season (finally!), I saw nothing else interesting as the cell which had pulsed had moved further west.  Returned home at 2315.

15 May

SE Colorado

Colorado storm

Train and storm

Undercloud features

Sunset supercell

The Cow Palace

 Having arrived in Oklahoma City under less than favorable circumstances (at 4:30 a.m. on 14 May if that provides any clues), my son, my brother and I left town at 1500 heading for southeast Colorado to vicinity of 5% severe probability.  Saw storm to west of Springfield CO at 2300 and parked on hill west of town.  After taking pictures of train going by with storm in background (see links), got chased off land and headed further southwest.  Storm had only a weak short-lived wall cloud, but did have nice CG with heavy intermittent rain and neat backlit  undercloud features (see link).  Left vicinity  and headed north to find lodging.  While traveling saw huge anvil to east (see link) from storm with Severe warning on it.  Wound up in Lamar CO at 0230 at the Cow Palace Inn (see link).

 

16 May

SW Nebraska

Mammatus

Left Lamar at 1610 and headed north toward North Platte, NE where storms were progged to fire north of town.  After reaching I-76/80 in far northeast Colorado (at 2025) saw line of storms going up south and east of our position, much earlier and further south than progged.  Attempted tail chase of line on I-80, eventually heading south through Nebraska hill country on circuitous dirt roads, unsuccessfully chasing a huge rotating supercell with impressive mammatus (see link) and pea-sized hail at 0015.  Wound up in Holdrege NE at 0100.

 

17 May

Central Kansas

Chaser convention

Watching an LP supercell

In the Bear's Cage

Funnel?

Wall cloud over Wilson

The Punch-mobile

Left Holdrege NE at 1600 and headed south to Hays KS where we met up with my son’s OU chaser buddies.  Wound up with “chaser convergence” (see link) at a local hotel parking lot, waiting for storms to fire late afternoon.  When convection began in earnest at 2150 left Hays heading west and south, with area under tornado watch.  Saw LP supercell to west with lowering features (see link) that never materialized into anything special due to cold air from front undercutting updraft.  Headed south and east to view storm structure and at 2330 heard tornado warning on storm to east near Russell KS.  Jumped back on I-70 and shot east, following our OU chaser pathfinders and core-punching the radar “hook” (which included vicious cross winds and occasional golf ball sized hail) and entering the “Bear’s Cage” in order to get ahead of active wall cloud (see links).  No obvious funnels materialized while we watched, and rotating wall cloud dissipated after 20-30 minutes of viewing from Wilson KS site.  (We did see the vehicle outfitted with IMAX cameras that some less-than-sane chasers are attempting to punch through a tornado.)  Headed east on I-70 to overnight in Salina KS.

 

18 May

Central/Southern Kansas

Scud vacuum

Rotating wall cloud

Left Salina at 1600 and headed south to Wichita KS vicinity, with highest probabilities of severe weather progged east of there and south of I-35.  Went east to Chanute at 2130 to check internet and found no radar echoes visible anywhere near our area of Kansas.  Headed back west 40 miles to rest stop at 2315, where we waited underneath a cloudless sky to see if anything would happen.  At 2340 noticed towers going up well to west and north and sped in that direction.  Saw lowered cloud base at 0030 and stopped to investigate.  After that dissipated, headed northeast to inspect other updrafts.  At 0100 stopped on dirt road with two wall clouds in sight to north.  Watched as they grew and dissipated, then saw feature to southwest that was sucking up scud from ground level (see link).  As it approached it wrapped into a significant wall cloud, one version which rotated rapidly less than a mile from us (see link) without dropping a funnel.  After it dissipated left position at 0145 to head west and intercept state highway, plowing through open range (and dodging quite a few cows) along the way.  Arrived Wichita at 0315.

 

19 May

Eastern Nebraska / Western Iowa

We went to the bullseye

SPC Moderate risk for today, with 15% hatched area for tornado probs (see link), so headed north from Wichita at 1500 to northeast Nebraska to position ourselves in the bullseye.  Arrived at target location  in West Point NE at 2130 underneath thick overcast and haze/fog.  Called nowcaster in Norman to find that Moderate risk had been dropped and we were only at western edge of latest slight risk.  Headed east to western Iowa to see if overcast would break.  After waiting there 45 minutes with nothing happening and nothing on weather radio, left at 2330 to head south for Lincoln NE, where we arrived at 0130 to see a few weak updrafts die with sunset.  Traveled 557 miles for another Moderate risk B-U-S-T!!

 

20 May

Eastern Nebraska / Northwestern Missouri

 

Again, forecast looked like eastern NE would be a great position, just to the southeast of a cold front in nice juicy air.  Left Lincoln at 1730 to position ourselves, arriving in the Auburn NE vicinity at 1915.  All we saw was overcast and a variable wind indicating that we were probably right underneath the front.  As we gave up in disgust and headed south, we saw a few towers to the north and east, so gave chase until they all died and the only convection visible was a large tower over northern Missouri that was too far away and headed east.  So, headed for Kansas City to overnight prior to driving back to OKC for our flight out.  Another

B-U-S-T accompanied by FBS (Flat Bun Syndrome).

 

22 May

N/A

 

Flew home today during a High Risk which resulted in the largest tornado outbreak in quite a while in Nebraska and Iowa…precisely where we were 48 hours prior!  Timing truly is everything, and ours stunk!!

23 May

Fauquier / Culpeper counties, VA

Severe TS warning

Rainbow

2157 radar

To assuage my disgust at two consecutive busts and missing a huge tornado outbreak out west, my daughter and I chased a storm coming east from the Blue Ridge.  Left home at 2000 and headed into Fauquier county before realizing that southern part of cell had become dominant with a severe TS warning on it (see link).  Headed south into Culpeper and then core-punched storm heading east to a position 5 miles west of Wilderness at 2135.  At 2145 storm reached us with heavy rain, plentiful CG, two separate pea-sized hailfalls, and a very close rainbow (see links).  Returned home at 2245.

25 May

Spotsylvania county, VA

2358 doppler

Rotating wall cloud

Funnel?

Inflow band

Sunset on wall cloud

With line of severe storms progressing through Sterling forecast area, I picked out a warned storm heading southeast from the Blue Ridge that was exhibiting rotation on doppler radar (see link).  Left home at 2255 and headed south, then west into Spotsylvania county.  At 2340 stopped at elementary school to watch rotating wall cloud (see link).  May have seen a funnel (see link) but I couldn’t definitely say if it was rotating, so it might have just been scud.  Saw evidence of incipient inflow band (see link) and called in rotating wall cloud to Sterling.  Followed storm south and east until sunset (see link), then headed home, arriving at 0045.

31 May

Spotsylvania county, VA

Tornado probabilities

Tornado Watch

Western storm

Features 1

Features 2

SPC Day 1 outlook had us in 5% tornado area (see link) so I paid close attention to any and all of the scattered storms in the Piedmont area.  With tornado watch in place (see link) left home at 2110 for south central Spotsylvania to intercept storms heading east over Madison and Orange counties.  Arrived at county high school at 2140 with one storm to the southwest and one directly west (see link), and decided to intercept storm to west.  Headed further south to better viewing position at 2150, just ahead of storm outflow and rain.  Saw interesting features with a slight tendency for rotation (see links), but no lightning or thunder was evident.  Arrived home at 2245 after no other exciting things happened.

10 June

Spotsylvania county, VA

Severe Thunderstorm watch

Wall cloud?

Gustfront

With area underneath severe TS watch (see link) left home at 2015 for local airport (EZF) to intercept systems that appeared to be merging.  At 2037 saw lowered base to northwest that looked like a wall cloud (see link) to the southeast of the main rain shaft.  However, as storm approached thunder and lightning lessened and the feature appeared more like a gustfront (see link).  Outflow from storm felt at 2103 and only a little rain fell.  Back home at 2135 radar loop revealed that system had collapsed while I was watching it and had sent an outflow boundary to the north which fired a couple of storms in Prince William county. 

16 June

Fredericksburg, VA

2300 Doppler

With area embalmed in tropical air (but not under any SPC risk or watch) noticed while out shopping that the base of a nearby shower seemed to be lowering and developing rotation (no lightning or thunder evident).  Stopped in Wal Mart parking lot to observe and called in wall cloud to Sterling around 2330.  As my son and I watched a very suspicious area of scud formed around the bottom of the wall cloud and also caught the attention of a few shoppers.  Entire cell dissipated over next 5-10 minutes.

17 June

King George County, VA

2256 Doppler

2256 reflectivity

Backside of storm

 

After running errands, watched line of storms pass by to north and south of area (toilet bowl strikes again!) until I couldn’t stand it any longer.  Given reflectivity and doppler signatures (see links) of storm over southern Maryland plus a severe TS warning I headed east at 2315 to arrive at the junction of U.S. 301 and the Potomac River in King George County at 2345.  Thunder was ominous as was the sky (see link).  Returned home at 0015 with no regrets.

18 June (a)

King George County, VA

1857 reflectivity

Saw storms firing to northwest and traveling southeast, so left work at 1815 to intercept cell with indicated tops over 40k ft. and good reflectivity (see link).  Just west of KG high school saw wall cloud to north at 1840 and headed in that direction.  Did not have camera, but checked with my son for a nowcast who saw a slight rotation on doppler.  As I watched storm the wall cloud gusted out and the outflow took over, including heavy rain.  Retreated south and watched for another 20 minutes but saw nothing else severe.  Arrived home at 2000.

18 June (b)

Spotsylvania county, VA

2257 radar

2257 Doppler

 

After dinner noticed popup cells to northwest of Warrenton that continued to grow in size and intensity (see link).  As they intensified an area of rotation appeared on doppler (see link), so I left home at 2315 to intercept apparently right-moving storm in northwest Spotsylvania county.  Even at 2345 towers still looked good as I maneuvered to get into place to view base.  However, by 0000 storm had collapsed, leaving me high and dry after struggling into position in Friday evening traffic.  Not having a lot of luck here...

1 July

Fauquier and Culpeper counties, VA

2256 radar

With area under SPC slight risk and wanting to not be at work I left early.  Leaving home at 1855 I headed up to Warrenton area to pre-position for a chase.  Wandered south to Culpeper vicinity at 2130 to investigate a shower but it dissipated soon thereafter.  Cap manifested itself despite good CAPE and LI’s...the few storms that did break the cap (see link) became large right-turning supercells, with one just north of DC, another around Baltimore, and a complex that passed near Charlottesville and stayed south of I-64.  The “toilet bowl” again!!!

5 July

Orange county, VA

1859 doppler

Gustfront near town

1922 Meso Discussion

Gustfront east of town

 

After a “pseudochase” on Independence Day (during which I saw nothing but rain), the next day a storm appeared literally on the doorstep.  We were in the town of Orange for a family event when we heard artillery-caliber thunder coming from a storm whose anvil we had seen over the mountains to the west.  Checking radar (see link) we saw rotation indicated and decided to head west at 1900 to intercept it.  With two chase vehicles we drove one mile west to a hilltop motel location since the storm was bearing down on us quickly.  The gust front (see link) showed signs of morphing into a wallcloud as the southern outflow edge reversed back toward the rain shaft.  With heavy duty CG sizzling down all around our location, we decided to retreat east to stay ahead of the rain.  While we did so the SPC issued a mesoscale discussion (see link) for this complex.  Staying on eastward-leading county roads we were able to get ahead of it enough to stop a few times for pictures (see link) and notice that the rotation tendency of the gust front was still evident, but we never saw an actual wallcloud.  Arrived home at 2030.

6 July

Stafford county, VA

Shelf cloud from distance

2256 doppler

Closer shelf cloud

Shelf cloud backside

 

Under northwest flow and subsidence did not expect convection to fire, but it did all around!  While waiting at home for a workman to show up several nice cells passed both to south and north of us.  Fortunately an outflow boundary created a complex directly upstream from us and at 2230 I left for local school parking lot.  While waiting for slow-moving storm noticed a pronounced shelf cloud to the west (see link), so at 2250 left for better position.  2256 doppler (see link) showed significant winds  and seven minutes later I photoed (see link) an awesome shelf cloud formation.  After a few minutes feature began to decay but was still neat-looking from the rear (see link).  Left for home in rain, arriving 2315.

7 July

King George, Westmoreland, and Spotsylvania counties, VA

1757 doppler

1857 doppler

2256 radar

Southern end

Northern end

Outflow layers1

Outflow layers2

Outflow layers3

Getting close

Getting closer

Getting even closer

Overhead1

Overhead2

Overhead3

2357 radar

With SPC “See Text” over area left work early in an attempt to intercept storms tracking NE.  Decided to chase east to catch nice-looking cell (see 1757 doppler link) with rotation features.  Left home at 1808 heading for Westmoreland county via King George county, but wound up in tail chase under funky visibility.  Turned around (see 1857 doppler link) near storm, wtih nice lightning displays visible but nothing else, and arrived home 1950.  After SPC upgraded us to a slight risk I watched another line form on radar (see 2256 radar link) and headed southeast into Spotsylvania county along the Rappahannock to watch storm approach.  As I parked at 2316 I saw another incredible shelf cloud in the distance (see southern and northern photo links) and stayed to watch it approach.  As it did I could see three layers of outflow stacked on top of each other (see 3 layer photo links).  As the shelf cloud got even closer (see next three photo links) it became clear that the storm behind the shelf cloud had dissipated, with rainshafts visibly thinning and disappearing as I watched.  At 2338 I felt the first ground-level outflow and snapped several more photos as the cloud passed overhead (last three photo links).  The outflow never exceeded 10-12 kts at the surface, so I left at 2348 and headed home, arriving at 0003 to check the radar (see link) and see virtually no precipitation associated with the final stages of this awesome shelf cloud.

12 July

King George and Stafford counties, VA

Southern storm

2208 doppler

Western storm

Noticed radar showing approaching storms, with southern line traveling SW-NE and the western line heading due east.  Turned out we were near a triple point with a weak surface low just north of town and a front extending to the east.  Left home at 2119 to check out southern storm and headed east to intercept, running into outflow at 2132 (see link).  Bulk of cell was further to east than I wanted to go given the approaching western storm (see doppler link), but it had some impressive lightning/thunder couplets.  Headed back west to intercept next storm at school location and saw cool outflow features at the leading edge (see link) and abundant CG.  Traveled a bit further east to try to intercept more vigorous area to north but was unsuccessful.  Returned home at 2240 in heavy rain.

13 July

Spotsylvania county, VA

Wall cloud

2258 doppler

With the lawn begging to be cut I tried unsuccessfully to ignore a very acoustic storm passing just to our west.  The rumblings finally got to me and I hopped in the chasemobile determined to take a peek but not chase too long.  Leaving home at 2235 I arrived in New Post at 2254, but on the way I noticed what appeared to be a rotating wall cloud (see link) somewhat south of the main storm, apparently attached to another cell that was decaying.  Radar showed no rotation at 2258 (see link).  Stayed at New Post until 2312 listening to thunder and watching main body of storm pass by to the west.  Arrived home at 2326 and promptly cut the grass in anticipation of a better chase opportunity tomorrow (7/14).

14 July

Charles County, MD

1957 doppler

Approaching features

Feature definition

With area under SPC slight risk I kept an eye on the radar, but when major storms began firing very early in the p.m. I was caught out of position and still at work.  Left at 1820 and headed north into Maryland to catch southern end of line moving across Fauquier and Stafford counties in Virginia.  This was my first chase into Maryland, and being unfamiliar with the area I had a difficult time positioning myself near the storm’s track while finding an untreed spot from which I could see something.  I finally got situated at 1935 across the Potomac River and slightly northeast of the Stafford/Prince William county border.  The storm now had a tornado warning on it for Stafford county and was crossing the river (see doppler link).  As the leading edge approached I kept an eye on a feature trying to rotate (see link), watching as it picked up some definition (see link).  Never saw anything more than this, so when heavy rain and retina-burning CG’s began at 1945 I stayed put.  Experienced 3 separate brief hailfalls, with the first two pea-sized and the last one somewhat larger (judging mainly by the sound difference).  Left position at 2010, arriving home at 2125 after driving through another cell with torrential rainfall and abundant CG.

19 July

Stafford county, VA

2255 doppler

Noticed cell to NW had slight indications of rotation on doppler (see link) so I headed out the door at 2246, arriving at 2310 at a less than desirable viewing spot in western Stafford county (too many trees!).  Storm approach was painfully slow, but lightning was fairly plentiful.  Saw no rotational features so I waited until rain began in earnest and left at 2325, arriving home well before line hit.  Stood outside on front porch and watched same line approach near dark.

23 July

Stafford county, VA

None

Line of storms associated with weak cold front pushed in from NW, so I headed out at 2327 for a viewing spot in western Stafford.  Didn’t see much due to abundant haze, low clouds, and the setting sun, but best cell passed approx. 10 miles to the west of my position.  Arrived home at 0030.

4 August

Spotsylvania, VA

2206 doppler

With squall line approaching northwestern Virginia I noticed a lone cell out ahead with possible rotation (see doppler link) and decided to intercept it.  Left home at 2218 and headed west into Spotsylvania county, arriving at elementary school on Harrison Rd. at 2242.  After viewing slow-moving storm it became evident I needed to get further south, so I traveled that direction on Gordon Rd., stopping at 2300 for water and to watch storm, which now appeared to be dissipating.  At 2315 I declared it dead and left for home, arriving at 2345.  Will I see any more decent storms before the fall chase season in Oct-Nov.?

11 August

Fauquier, Culpeper, and Orange counties, VA

1959 MD text

1843 radar

2037 radar

Area was ripe for an MD (see link) so I watched radar and decided to head out at 1855, hoping that the southern storms in the approaching line were as potent as the one headed for the DC suburbs (see 1843 radar link), which eventually dumped out 1.5” hail in northern VA.  Headed northwest into Fauquier county to intercept storms moving NE out of Culpeper and found upon arrival in Bealeton that this cell had dissipated.  Knowing there were more storms to the south but unable to see them I headed toward Culpeper and was rewarded with dark clouds to the southeast.  Headed back east and intercepted a ferocious rainshaft near Wilderness at 2015, with almost instant ponding on the road and near-zero visibilities (see 2037 radar link).  Tremendous rain rate with accompanying small hail lasted for a couple of minutes before diminishing to more normal heavy rainfall and associated CG’s.  Pulled off highway to watch but saw nothing more of interest in the murk so I headed home, arriving at 2115.

30 August

Essex and Middlesex counties, VA

Tornado watch

With the remnants of Tropical Storm Gaston heading north SPC forecasts had us under a 5% tornado threat, which culminated in a tornado watch (see link) for the eastern Virginia Piedmont.  Left work and met my son in Port Royal at 1730 to drop off a car and head southeast down Rt. 17.  As we ran into increasingly heavy rain squalls we kept hearing reports on a Richmond radio station of rotating storms and funnel clouds just east of the city (to our south).  Although we did see some CG while experiencing wind gusts nearing 20 kts, the lowering ceiling and heavy rain played havoc with visibility.  Stopping in Saluda we listened to the incredible rainfall rates that Richmond was experiencing and decided that discretion was the better part of this stormchase. So we headed back northwest rather than continuing south to pursue the rotating cells.  Good thing too, given the flood damage and numerous road closures in and around Richmond caused by the 14” of rain that Gaston deposited in a few hours.

8 September

N/A

1955 radar

The remains of Hurricane Frances imparted sufficient vorticity to the atmosphere to cause a mini-breakout of tornadoes in our vicinity.  OF COURSE I WAS OUT OF TOWN!!! ( I was not even on the U.S. mainland!)  My son spotted a wall cloud and reported a funnel cloud to Wakefield on the storm shown in the radar image at left.  My timing is impeccably inconvenient this year for some reason…

17 Sept (a)

Fauquier and Culpeper counties, VA

SPC Summary

Sumerduck view

1957 radar

1957 doppler

1955 Tornado warning

Bealeton view

Tornado!!

2nd Warrenton storm

2055 doppler

WOW!!!!!!  Talk about making up for lost opportunities…today’s chase was utterly amazing with a record tornado outbreak (see SPC link) occurring from the influence of Hurricane Ivan’s remnants.  Watching the conditions ripen at work, I left early when a dry slot allowed the warm September sunshine to destabilize the juicy atmosphere.  Left home at 1900 in a two car convoy with my son and his fiancée, plowing through thick Friday afternoon traffic into Fauquier county to intercept a couple of likely-looking storms that had looked promising but hadn’t shown rotation before we left our computers.  Upon reaching the Sumerduck vicinity we ducked off Rte. 17 onto county roads and found an excellent vantage point from which to observe a magnificent mesocyclone and wall cloud to our west (see links for photo and two radar views).  Seeing the obvious rotation I called in a report to the Sterling office, the net result being a 1955 tornado warning issued within 3 minutes of my call (see link).  As this storm headed north we screeched back onto Rte. 17 north toward Bealeton, where we had a full view of the storm over Opal (see link) as it produced two simultaneous tornadoes.  We maneuvered northeast on Rte. 28 to intercept the storm via Meetze Road leading to Warrenton.  As we approached town we ran into increasing amounts of debris on the road and drove by several side roads just as local law enforcement was closing them down.  We turned north onto Rte. 29, crawling our way a half mile through blinding rain and traffic and…THERE IT WAS (see link)!!  The tornado was to our northeast about 500 yards away and I snapped a few photos while traffic was stopped.  We then inched our way northward, reaching the damage path where it had crossed Rte. 29 and turning off on an eastward leading county road to escape the now bumper-to-bumper traffic.  As we all gathered our thoughts we determined that to follow this storm further was foolish given the traffic conditions.  Besides, by that time there was an abundance of tornado warnings for counties to our south, meaning more storms were headed our direction.  So we continued eastward and stopped when the storm trailing its tornadic companion began exhibiting interesting features.  As we watched it too began to rotate and lower (see photo and Doppler link).  Unfortunately it was also nearing Rte. 29 and the accompanying heavy traffic, and we didn’t relish the prospect of diving back into that maelstrom.  While we were deliberating a number of folks slowed to ask us about the weather conditions, including a local deputy sheriff. 

17 Sept (b)

Fauquier and Culpeper counties, VA

Fredericksburg tornado warning

Orange tornado warning

2158 doppler

Funnel close at hand

LWX storm report summary

Uh Oh!!

Leeland tornado

Tornado surveys

Tornado survey plot

With multiple options confronting us we now had to decide where to head next.  One storm back toward Fredericksburg was warned (see link) but we could have never reached it before it also escaped into heavy Northern Virginia traffic.  Meandering our way back toward Bealeton on Rte 28 my trusty weather radio squawked yet another tornado warning south of us (see link) that appeared to be interceptable, so we vectored toward Opal again, stopping at 2145 at a local fast food joint to quickly relieve bladders and grab some grease to go.  Our two car caravan then wound northwest toward Jeffersonton, fighting through increasingly blinding rain that increased my apprehension about flash flooding on narrow county roads.  As we emerged from the heavy rain I glanced back to my immediate south and realized why conditions had been so tough.  We had unwittingly core-punched a rotating storm (see Doppler link)!!  Signaling the other car I pulled off onto a farm driveway and watched as a funnel swirled less than 200 yards southeast of us (see photo) without touching down.  Fortunately the funnel remnants passed close by but not overhead, allowing us to avoid a wild scramble to get out of its way.  However I then realized that we were firmly emplanted in the Bear’s Cage with the rotating wall cloud very obviously directly above us.  With three sets of eyes nervously watching for additional funnels we allowed this potent mesocyclone a few minutes to head north before we again gave chase.  Unfortunately it retreated into a rural region populated with narrow winding roads and we never really caught back up to it.  Given the waning daylight and (unbelievably!) actually growing tired of hearing tornado warnings (see tornado report link), we headed homeward to be greeted with a line of electrical storms that supplied an imcomparable light show as we struggled through traffic, arriving home at 2350.  Hopping onto the Net we found that even the Sterling forecast office had been threatened (see Uh Oh! link) and that a tornado had been spotted less than two miles from our house (see Leeland link).  Tornado surveys link from Sterling WFO…text in blue refers to tornadoes we saw, text in red refers to tornado near our house.  Survey plot link shows our 3 intercept positions in chronological order.  Best chase to date!!!!!

28 Sept

Stafford and King George counties, VA

Special Weather Statement

 

With the remnants of yet another tropical system (Jeanne) coming through our area, a tornado watch was issued for our area (see link) and hopes arose for a possible reprise of the Ivan experience.  Left work early, checked radar at home, and headed out at 1755 to intercept a significant rainband approaching from the south.  I picked out the cell with the highest tops in our area and settled in its path in western King George county off Rte. 605.  Saw first lightning at 1820, with very heavy rain following at 1830 accompanied by 15+ knots of wind.  Never saw any rotation, altho’ there was a report in the local paper of a funnel cloud in that vicinity (not a report that I believe, however).  Left position at 1845 after cells passed through.  Heard a multitude of flash flood reports but no tornado reports and only one severe TS report for the Baltimore area.  Is this the last of the incredible 2004 hurricane season?

16 Oct

Stafford county, VA

Southernmost cell

With the southern end of a cold frontal convective line approaching and occasional thunder evident, took the opportunity to experience a somewhat rare October  thundershower.  Left home at 2030 for local school vantage point and photographed the southernmost cell at 2042 (see link).  Only occasional CG and thunder, but one was strong and close enough to rattle teeth…love that sound!  As leading edge passed over wind gusted near 30 knots, rocking the car briefly.   Arrived home at 2100, hoping for yet one more chase this fall before the winter doldrums set in.